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A pivotal election result for Germany and Europe
Macro Strategists Eoin O’Callaghan and Nicolas Wylenzek share their initial observations on what the pivotal Federal election results in Germany could mean for investors.
Sitting in the slack tide of US fiscal stimulus
Portfolio Manager Connor Fitzgerald profiles the risks of the Trump administration's policies around spending cut, tariffs, and immigration, and analyzes potential effects on US growth.
The US immigration crackdown: Weighing the economic implications
As the details of new US immigration policies come into focus, Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the risks they may pose for the labor market and the broader economy.
Geopolitics in 2025: Risks, opportunities, and deepening uncertainties
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha outlines his structural, policy, and geopolitical outlook for the year.
By
What an “America first” foreign policy may mean for markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential market impacts of President Trump's "America first" foreign policy. From regional hegemony to global economic dominance to tariffs applied for strategic geopolitical gain, discover how these shifts could affect investors.
By
Venture capital outlook for 2025: 5 key trends
Our venture capital experts are encouraged by the healthier environment for venture capital in 2025. In this year's outlook, they explore key themes for the year ahead, including: higher deployment, AI, rebounding IPOs, and impacts of the 2024 election.
Multiple authors
What's current in credit: November 2024
Connor Fitzgerald explores the impact of President Trump’s US election victory on credit markets. Where are the opportunities and risks for credit investors now?
Chart in Focus: Is the “Trump trade” real?
Is this "Trump trade" real?In this latest edition of Chart in Focus, we compare market's reactions to Trump's re-election and his 2016 election, and share our observations.
Multiple authors
Fed stays its course while acknowledging brewing winds of change
Our expert examines the underlying data which drove the Fed to stay its rate-cutting course.
Trump 2.0: US election market impacts
In the wake of the US election, macro strategists Juhi Dhawan and Michael Medeiros join host Thomas Mucha to discuss the market, policy, and geopolitical implications of Trump 2.0.
It’s different this time: Trump faces challenging geopolitical dynamics
Our expert explores how Trump may approach the heightened geopolitical challenges his second administration faces.
By
What do the US election results mean for investors?
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and capital markets. Our panel of experts provides a thorough analysis of what happened and explores potential market impacts.
Multiple authors
Trump win likely to accelerate macro trends already in motion
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and markets. To help you understand these changes, US Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros provides a thorough analysis and discusses the potential market impacts.
Pre-election ideas for investors: Lean into what you know (not what you don’t)
Our expert offers investable ideas based on known macro and market conditions, rather than speculation.
Multiple authors
US election special: which investment themes win at the polls?
The upcoming US election could be one of the most momentous in recent history. How could the result affect different investment themes? Our thematic team investigate the potential implications for investors.
Multiple authors
Unearthing the unseen in geopolitics
Unearthing the unseen in geopolitics. Watch Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha delve into the investment impact of structural geopolitical shifts and share his latest take on the upcoming US election.
Sahm rules are meant to be broken
Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Multiple authors
An active investor’s guide to growth equities
Our experts offer their view on the current economic environment, explore best practices for investing in high-quality growth equities, and highlight where they see opportunity now.
Multiple authors
The US elections through the eyes of a European investor
Supriya Menon, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – EMEA, explores what potentially material implications upcoming US elections could have for European investors and identifies key areas to monitor closely.
Four investment perspectives amid a pivotal US election
How can investors reposition portfolios for a pivotal but highly unpredictable US elections? Nick Samouilhan explores potential avenues in conversation with three leading portfolio managers.
Multiple authors
Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications
Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.
By
Does the US election even matter? Thoughts on politics, Fed policy, and portfolios
What's next for interest rates and what impact will the US election have? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros share their outlook and discuss the asset allocation implications.
Are US election probabilities now a critical driver of bond yields?
Our expert argues that the US election remains a critical catalyst for the bond market given the contrast between both parties as it relates to supply side policies such as trade and immigration, and to policy differences around taxation and regulation.
European elections: all change for equity investors?
Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek discusses how the elections for the European Parliament could herald significant change, with major implications for European equity investors.
Surprise French election result: what does it mean for investors?
Macro Strategist Nick Wylenzek and Investment Director Thomas Kramer discuss the surprise French election and its implications for European equities.
Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.
Battle for the supply side of the economy: US election implications
Starkly different policy agendas from Biden and Trump are examined in terms of how they may affect the supply side of the US economy.
As India goes to the polls, is the case for Indian equities still compelling?
While current Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to secure a third term, a full-scale win is not a foregone conclusion. Against this backdrop and continued investor enthusiasm for Indian equities, Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks assess the macro case for India. Are higher valuations justified?
Iran/Israel conflict: What can we expect?
Our expert examines the recent attacks, the threat of escalation, and the dynamics at play in the region.
By
Biden 2.0: National security and investment themes
The geopolitical and investment implications of a potential second Biden term.
By
The immigration surge: Political challenge, economic blessing?
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the impact of rising immigration, a top issue in this year's US elections, on growth, interest rates, and the labor market.
The Trump/Biden rematch: Market implications of unprecedented policy divergence
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key areas of policy debate in this year's US election that she expects will matter most to markets, from the tax and spending plans to trade and geopolitics.
Thematic investing focus: security in a world of great-power competition
In an environment of accelerating great-power competition and geopolitical instability, policymakers may place a higher emphasis on security – even at the expense of economic efficiency. What could this mean for thematic investors?
Multiple authors
The intersection of geopolitics and deglobalization
The geopolitical landscape is likely to remain complex and unpredictable throughout 2024. What are the key risks to watch out for and what are the implications for investors?
By
Geopolitical outlook: Shifting policies, structural advantages?
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán look at five geopolitical themes they believe investors should watch in 2023.
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Markets in 2025: asleep at the wheel or in the driving seat?
Watch the conversation with Head of Macro Strategy John Butler as he discusses recent macro events and potential 2025 market outcomes for investors.
By
John Butler
Will Lockhart